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MARKET DATA, INC.
Analysis of Weekly Review Rating and Market Progress NEW CROP ***** 1998 WHEAT CROP *****
As of: 7/29/1998 **** OBERLIN BASIS ***
Date   Rating Contract Current % Futures Futures Cash Cash Move Today's vs  Past %
      Month Futures of High Move Up Move Down Change Hi to Low Cash Average of Past
PRE-HARVEST REVIEW:   Based on similar years from Date  shown to August 22nd.
2/25/1998 FAIR SEP $3.57 72.14% $0.36 ($0.51) NA $1.02 $3.11 $3.21 96.81%
3/11/1998 GOOD SEP $3.74 75.49% $0.41 ($0.44) $0.17 $1.02 $3.28 $3.20 102.43%
4/29/1998 POOR SEP $3.28 66.29% $0.43 ($0.33) ($0.34) $0.94 $2.77 $3.18 87.00%
Changed similar years due to large increase in U.S. and World stocks of wheat from May 12th USDA report.
7/29/1998 FAIR SEP $2.74 67.14% $0.07 ($0.11) ($0.93) $0.21 $2.18 $2.86 76.27%
MDI'S AVERAGE "GOOD " FUTURES PRICE $3.74  Futures High was $3.79 98.68%
AVERAGE FUTURES PRICE FOR THE PERIOD $0.58
AMOUNT "GOOD" OVER FUTURES AVERAGE PRICE $3.16
                         
NOTE #1:  Notice that the "GOOD" rating showed a potential Cash Move Hi to Low of $1.02.  IF the "GOOD" rating is signaling a price
close to the High, it means the potential move down during this time frame is around $1.00.  This works over the long term.
NOTE #2:  It appears that when the Today's Cash price is at or above 95% of the Past Average price in similar years, better selling
opportunities are likely.  When it is above 102-105%, prices should be looked at closely for selling or hedging.
NOTE #3:   It also appears that when the Today's Cash price is at or below 85% of the Past Average price, selling or pricing grain
 may not be in your best interests - EXCEPT IF - your TARGET PRICES have been reached!
                         

Copyright 2001, Market Data, Inc.